 Название: Gambling on War: Confidence, Fear, and the Tragedy of the First World War
Автор: Roger L. Ransom
Издательство: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 1108485022
Год: 2018
Страниц: 346
Язык: английский
Формат: pdf (true)
Размер: 17.3 MB
The First World War left a legacy of chaos that is still with us a century later. Why did European leaders resort to war and why did they not end it sooner? Roger L. Ransom sheds new light on this enduring puzzle by employing insights from prospect theory and notions of risk and uncertainty. He reveals how the interplay of confidence, fear, and a propensity to gamble encouraged aggressive behavior by leaders who pursued risky military strategies in hopes of winning the war. The result was a series of military disasters and a war of attrition which gradually exhausted the belligerents without producing any hope of ending the war. Ultimately, he shows that the outcome of the war rested as much on the ability of the Allied powers to muster their superior economic resources to continue the fight as it did on success on the battlefield.
Contents:
Prologue
1 Confi dence, Fear, and a Propensity to Gamble 5
2 Otto von Bismarck and the Changing Paradigm of War 33
3 Schlieffen’s Gamble 51
4 A War of Attrition 85
5 Economies at War 118
6 War and Revolution 154
7 The Last Gamble 195
8 The Chaos of Victory 233
Epilogue: The Tragedy of a World War 270
Appendix 1: The Composite Index of National Capability
Score 273
Appendix 2: Woodrow Wilson’s Fourteen Points 279
Acknowledgments 286
Notes 288
Bibliography 312
Index 327
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Gambling on War: Confidence, Fear, and the Tragedy of the First World War 
